Life is a continuous succession of decisions, and human beings by their very nature crave certainty, for it grants a feeling of security and control over one's affairs. Yet uncertainty has been woven into the fabric of creation by the infinite wisdom of Allah. Everything in this world is subject to change—the seasons, our emotions, our children, and even our own personalities—while the only absolute constant is Allah Himself, as He declares, "Everything will perish except His Face." Allah alone possesses certainty over the most fundamental matters of existence, as stated in His words: "Indeed, Allah [alone] has knowledge of the Hour and sends down the rain and knows what is in the wombs. And no soul perceives what it will earn tomorrow, and no soul perceives in what land it will die. Indeed, Allah is Knowing and Acquainted." This verse teaches that to human beings nearly everything remains indeterminate, no matter how far science advances.
The person who learns to tolerate uncertainty functions better in life than the one who ceaselessly seeks control, for the latter finds "what they resist to persist" and dwells in perpetual worry. Drawing on decades of psychological research, uncertainty intolerance may be defined as a cognitive bias affecting how one perceives and responds to uncertain situations, and this intolerance has been identified as a root cause of worry and generalized anxiety disorder. Such worry breeds fear, which causes people to overestimate the likelihood of negative outcomes, producing a pessimism that is antithetical to the Islamic worldview of hope and optimism. In contrast, the Islamic outlook encourages us to direct our effort toward what lies within our agency while entrusting what lies beyond it to Allah, al-Wakeel, the One most suitable to be relied upon. The Prophet ﷺ illustrated this beautifully when he said, "Were you to put your complete trust in Allah, He would provide for you as He provides for the birds. They go out hungry in the morning and return filled in the evening." The birds, uncertain of what they will find, are not paralyzed by their uncertainty but rather motivated to seek what has been decreed for them.
Likewise, in matters beyond his control, the Prophet ﷺ would turn to Allah in supplication, such as istikhara, and then move forward with certainty that Allah would respond. He commanded, "Call upon Allah with certainty that He will answer you. Know that Allah will not answer the supplication of a heart that is negligent and distracted." When strong winds blew, he would say, "O Allah, I ask You for its goodness and I take refuge with You from its evil." Ibn Taymiyyah reflected upon the most important supplication and concluded that it was seeking Allah's assistance in pleasing Him, which he found embodied in the verse of al-Fatiha: "It is You alone that we worship and You alone that we rely upon."
The spread of the coronavirus intensified uncertainty everywhere, and this response constitutes a test from Allah, who says, "And We will surely test you with something of fear, hunger, loss of wealth, loss of life, and loss of fruits, but give glad tidings to the patient." To understand how Muslims cope, Yaqeen Institute surveyed over 1,200 American Muslims—a sample that was generally religious in practice, with 73% praying five times daily. By Allah's mercy, respondents were faring well overall: 49% expressed what may be termed "realistic optimism," believing that despite many ordeals, good could still emerge, while 20% held "realistic pessimism," and smaller percentages fell into denial or complete pessimism. Encouragingly, 53% reported witnessing many blessings from Allah since the virus emerged, and over 58% said their relationship with Allah had improved.
The study tested the hypothesis that attitudes and coping behaviors could be predicted by uncertainty intolerance and mental health, using a structural equation model. The data strongly supported the hypotheses: higher uncertainty intolerance significantly predicted worse mental health (B=.68), and worse mental health in turn predicted three outcomes. Poorer mental health was associated with failing to see blessings from Allah (B=-.18), greater personal and societal concern about the virus (B=.38), and a 35% higher likelihood of predicting a bleak future. Conversely, better mental health was linked to perceiving many blessings, holding fewer concerns, and anticipating positive outcomes. Additional predictors emerged: reading the Qur'an frequently was associated with a more positive outlook, fewer concerns, and greater recognition of blessings, and a grateful disposition likewise predicted seeing more blessings. Checking the news frequently correlated with a more negative outlook. Regarding gender, although women showed slightly higher uncertainty intolerance and worse mental health, they were more likely than men to express realistic optimism.
The study further found that both uncertainty intolerance (r=.25) and mental health (r=.29) correlated with negative coping strategies—such as excessive purchasing, emotional eating, and excessive entertainment—though those struggling also engaged in religious and social coping. Importantly, these beliefs, feelings, and behaviors are malleable and subject to change. Two possible pathways are suggested. On the adaptive path, Muslims who tolerate uncertainty enjoy lower anxiety and perceive matters through a positive lens, turning to Allah and His Book while checking the news only occasionally, thus creating a positive feedback cycle. On the maladaptive path, those intolerant of uncertainty suffer greater anxiety, may seek relief in excessive news and social media—which only compound their uncertainty with sensational and frightening reports—and turn to negative behaviors that fail to provide the comfort they seek.
Since perceptions can change, and since Allah is the Changer of Hearts, several suggestions are offered for the way forward. First, remember that though this life is a test, we are not meant to face it alone but to seek answers through Allah and His Book, exercising patience as He reveals answers in His own time. The Prophet ﷺ would begin his night prayer imploring, "O Allah, Lord of Jibril, Mikail, and Israfil... guide me to the truth of these disputed matters, for You are the One Who guides to the Straight Path." Second, recognize what lies within and beyond our control, being neither arrogant nor hopeless, and surrender the uncontrollable to Allah—a truth captured in the Prophet's ﷺ frequent words, described as a treasure of Paradise: "There is no change of a condition nor any power except with Allah." Third, engage in behaviors that reduce anxiety, combining a spiritual regimen of daily prayer, Qur'an reading, supplication, dhikr, tahajjud, and reflection on Allah's Names, together with positive psychological practices such as gratitude journaling, reflecting on nature, Islamic mindfulness, exercise, and limiting exposure to unnecessary news.
The fourth and most important suggestion is to channel anxiety toward the single concern that truly matters and lies within our control. The Prophet ﷺ promised that whoever focused all his concerns upon one—the concern for the afterlife—Allah would suffice him for the rest. Ibn Hazm, contemplating the motivations behind human action, found them all aimed at repelling anxiety, and concluded that the true remedy lay in sincerely turning toward Allah and seeking the afterlife. When the Prophet ﷺ was driven from Taif, bleeding and exhausted, he raised his hands and said, "As long as You are not displeased with me, I do not care what I face. I would, however, be much happier with Your mercy." Thus uncertainty is not to be escaped but embraced, placing the uncontrollable in Allah's hands while striving in what we can control: "And seek support through patience and prayer. For indeed, it is difficult except for the humbly submissive." Finally, the power of prayer stands as the antidote to the craving for control; a study on salah performed with deep concentration found decreased activation in the prefrontal cortex, the region associated with seeking control, allowing the believer to experience genuine surrender. Indeed, "by the remembrance of Allah hearts are assured."